The Russian military is conducting massive drills on the Ukrainian border, raising fears of an invasion.
This comes as Russia has been increasingly aggressive in its actions towards Ukraine, including the seizure of Crimea. Should The United States and NATO take action to ensure that Russia does not invade Ukraine or any other neighboring country?
Is Putin just showing he can raise his army or navy at a moment’s notice? Is he just trying to show ‘He too is a world power’? He has already been warned that serious sanctions will follow if he invades Ukraine.
Russia kicked off large-scale military exercises in Belarus on its western borders with Poland and Lithuania and along its southern flank near Ukraine, an escalation of the standoff between Moscow and Western powers and a possible precursor to a Russian invasion of a smaller neighbor.
Western officials believe the Russian exercises in Belarus could open a possible new vector to launch an attack on Ukraine, adding to the 100,000 troops Moscow has already deployed to the Russian-Ukrainian border. The Kremlin says the military activity is in response to a threat from the West to its own security. MSN
Just twelve days ago January 28, 2022, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, Answered questions on the possibility of Russia invading Ukraine.
Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said Friday the buildup of Russian forces along Ukraine’s border has reached the point where President Vladimir Putin now has a complete range of military options, including actions short of a full-scale invasion.
“While we don’t believe that President Putin has made a final decision to use these forces against Ukraine, he clearly now has the capability,” Austin told a Pentagon news conference.
In Moscow, the Kremlin said Putin told French President Emmanuel Macron that the West has failed to take Russian security concerns into account, and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told a radio interviewer that Russia doesn’t want war but sees no room for compromise on its demands.
Austin said Putin could use any portion of his force of an estimated 100,000 troops to seize Ukrainian cities and “significant territories” or to carry out “coercive acts or provocative political acts” like the recognition of breakaway territories inside Ukraine.
He urged Putin to de-escalate tensions and appeared to warn Moscow against what the White House recently said was Russia’s intent to paint Ukraine as the aggressor using a “false-flag operation” to justify an attack. Washington AP
The question is, will Putin invade Ukraine? He certainly has enough troops on the ground, 100,00 or possibly more, and now a Naval Fleet at his command. The Biden administration had better show strength. Putin isn’t a stupid man. He knows a war would mean destruction.
An international “crisis” is the anxious space between peace and war. It is defined by three things: time, threat, and the likelihood of violence. The shorter the time, the greater the sense of threat to important interests, and the greater the chance of physical harm, the more intense the crisis. By definition, it cannot go on indefinitely: like the analogous medical term, it’s the point at which things must get better or worse. The July crisis of 1914 lasted only weeks, for example, but plunged the Great Powers into their first global war.
During the Cold War, “crisis” had a special connotation, because each moment of political conflict raised the possibility of nuclear war between the United States and the Soviet Union. Every confrontation carried the potential not only for war but for the extermination of human civilization. While we look back on these periods now as something like curios in a museum, they were moments of existential fear for both American and Soviet leaders.‘July 13, 2017, Nationalinterest.org’
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