There is widespread speculation that Russia will invade Ukraine again, and if so, how the Europeans will react. Once Russia and Ukraine complete their invasion, interrogation will take on new urgency. The fighting has become more intense, and Russia’s war against Ukraine is likely to last much longer than Russian strategists had hoped.
Since most Russians have been kept in the dark about this war, including most of the Russian troops now fighting in Ukraine, the longer the war drags on, the more likely it is that doubts between the population and the army can condemn Russia. Russia’s war against Ukraine risks causing huge resentment in Russia and therefore a huge problem for Putin, who, like all dictators, fears Putin’s people first and foremost.
What happens next depends not so much on the military outcome of Russia’s war against Ukraine, but on other factors that it has already created and that will influence it in the future. Whatever Putin’s pre-invasion calculations, he can only conclude that his chances of doing something successfully in Taiwan or the South China Sea have improved.
If Russian President Vladimir Putin threatens Ukraine to get Europeans to think about the viability of a European security order, he has succeeded. Russia’s president unintentionally invades Ukraine Ukraine has united Europe and the transatlantic space in unprecedented ways since the fall of the Berlin Wall, as the continent’s former ally Vladimir Putin also left over the weekend.
On the morning of February 24, as Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, German Army Commander Alphonse Mays stood up and posted on LinkedIn that he “was” Never thought of fighting a war in Europe again.”
Four years ago, French President Emmanuel Macron, newly arrived in office, proposed a European Defense Force — a counterweight to a NATO alliance he and increasingly other EU leaders feared was being effectively held hostage by the United States and especially Donald Trump.
The result at the time was a rupture between Trump and Macron, followed by the French leader’s rapprochementwith then-German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Still, Macron’s idea went no further. Until now.
On Thursday, it will come to fruition. With Macron in the driver’s seat as France holds the rotating presidency of the European Union, the vehicle is called the “Strategic Compass.” This blueprint for Europe’s security strategy, ratified Monday by the bloc’s defense ministers, sets out a context and concept in the strongest, even belligerent language. “We are adopting this,” the report begins, “at a time when we witness the return of war in Europe” with these words boldfaced.
It continues by warning that: “Russia’s war of aggression constitutes a tectonic shift in European history. The EU is more united than ever in the face of Russia’s unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine.”
The document then goes on to recite the broad scope of challenges to the security of Europe, but equally in regions where Europe has profound interests from the Middle East and Gulf region across Africa to the Asia Pacific region, even Latin America. Many of these challenges are traced to “increasing foreign interferences” with their roots in the Kremlin. ‘Reporting by MSN.com’
For a generation after the Cold War, war in the EU was unthinkable, but Russia shattered all illusions in the world when it invaded Ukraine from Ukrainian soil and made it easier for all EU member states to resist Putin’s attacks.
Russia’s war on Ukraine ended the metaphysical questions some might ask about the relevance or interest of NATO today, making clear the common imperial threat. The war also strengthened NATO’s cohesion, with the first planned deployment of its Rapid Reaction Force at the Prague summit in 2002, the first time in NATO history.
Our forces will go to Europe not to fight in Ukraine, but to protect our NATO allies and appease our NATO allies. NATO remains united in condemning Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and allies are also united in their statement that we will never accept the flagrant violation of international law that we see when Russia now invades Ukraine.
Late last night, I spoke with President Zelensky of Ukraine and assured him that the United States, along with US allies and partners in Europe, would stand by the Ukrainian people in their defense.
Clearly, with the strength of NATO and U.S. diplomacy unable to stop the Kremlin’s protracted and intensifying large-scale military attack on Europe since World War II, it is time to bring other actors to the negotiating table.
Vladimir Putin’s aggression against Ukraine will ultimately cost the Russian government a heavy economic and strategic price. When the history of this era was written, Vladimir Putin decided to wage a totally unjustified war against Ukraine that would make Russia weaker and the rest of the world stronger.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has warned the Ukrainian President that he could be assassinated at any moment — and, in fact, U.S. officials have said that Vladimir Putin’s goal in this invasion is to “decapitate” the Ukrainian leadership and install a new regime.
The European Union’s efforts to create a defensive alliance that operated in parallel with NATO and did not overlap allowed the European Union to act for the first time through the deployment of a cyber unit to counter cyberattacks from Russia. Far from being “brain dead,” as French President Emmanuel Macron claimed in 2019, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine energized the alliance for decades to come.
How much longer must President Zelenskyy wait for the United States and its allies to realize, Sanctions just aren’t doing it. If we are to lead, then the Biden administration has to start leading. Vladimir Putin must be stood up against.
God Bless America, God Bless the Veterans and Ukrainian people