Arming Ukraine Against Russia, Is It Enough

Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay

Three weeks after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Ukrainian forces have been bogged down in the face of the world’s inspiring defense efforts. U.S. President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin find themselves caught between the cautionary lessons of history and today’s geopolitical challenges.

The Ukrainian military took a provocative stance this weekend, refusing to bow to Russian demands to surrender Kyiv troops in the port city of Mariupol. President Joe Biden and his allies faced a new divide deciding where the U.S. could arm themselves. A troubled country like Russia says they could take more aggressive action to stem the flow of U.S. and NATO weapons.

THREE WEEKS INTO Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as its underperforming military bogs down in the face of a world-inspiring defense effort, US president Joe Biden and Russian president Vladimir Putin find themselves caught between the cautionary lessons of history and today’s geopolitical realities.

Almost nothing has gone according to Putin’s earlier plans: Ukraine rallied against his military, inflicting horrendous losses and making it clear that Russia will never be welcomed into the former Soviet republic, and the world has united against Putin’s government, inflicting an immediate economic toll that already poses the greatest threat to his ongoing leadership in two decades.

Now Putin faces a dangerous question with destabilizing consequences for the West and the world beyond: How does he want to lose this war? What more of Russia’s treasury, economy, and people—and, not least of all, his own political power—is he willing to risk to either grind down Ukraine or preserve his hold on the country he’s led for nearly a quarter-century?   “wired.com

Russia’s faltering operations in Ukraine and the relative success of Ukrainian forces in repelling the invasion have prompted the US and other NATO governments to consider military aid to Kiev on a scale that Western leaders never expected, current and former officials said.

A wave of protest from the Western public against Russia’s actions may soon push Western leaders to become more actively involved in Russia’s war against Ukraine. Defense experts and strategists say the West continues to face a dilemma over Ukraine.

Despite recent Russian threats, the West continues to back Ukraine with weapons, intelligence and financial aid that could strengthen or break Ukrainian resistance. It could also tip the war in Ukraine’s favor, something that seemed unthinkable when Russia invaded more than two weeks ago.

At the same time, the international community responded with economic sanctions and other measures to force Russia to stop its invasion of Ukraine economically, and some countries provided Ukraine with military and humanitarian aid.

As with financial sanctions, Russia may predict that some countries will continue to supply Ukraine with weapons and see little or no reason to change Russia’s behavior with assurances of future military aid.

Given the pressure of Western sanctions,  the devaluation of the ruble, and capital flight, it will be difficult for Russia to provide substantial aid to Crimea and eastern Ukraine, where war losses are high.

An unprecedented global alliance of democracies has imposed crushing sanctions on Vladimir Putin’s regime as punishment for its invasion of Ukraine. Russia is being ejected from the networks that bind the global economy as companies from the United States, Europe, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and elsewhere cut off exports and evacuate their assets and staff.

Without ongoing access to modern technology and foreign expertise, Russia’s planes will stop flying, its military hardware will degrade, and even its ability to extract hydrocarbons and grow food will be imperiled. The country is now enduring an economic crisis worse than anything since the collapse of the Soviet Union.   “foreignpolicy.com

The Biden administration has not only imposed tough economic sanctions on Russia, but it is also arming Ukraine and cautiously saying it has no plans to expand the conflict by invading Russia, which seems to worry Vladimir Putin.

Critics, including Republican lawmakers, former U.S. diplomats, and Ukrainian military and military officials, said  President Joe Biden had taken an overly cautious stance on aid to Ukraine and was reluctant to approve some arms shipments, such as drones and armed stingers, the beginning of the war. 

So as not to provoke a positive response from Russia. Meanwhile, on the other side of the world,  Joe Biden faces his own tense choice: how to punish and defeat Russia without risking a war; he is determined not to fight, but At the forefront of popular politics and growing pressure is enlisting American help.

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